The program will establish a baseline for wood supply from native hardwood state forests and monitor trends of how the conditions of the approval can affect wood supply over time.
Baselines and trends in wood supply
Monitoring the trend in actual harvest volumes and wood supply modelling will be used to:
indicate whether the Coastal IFOA conditions are affecting wood supply over time and, if yes
evaluate volumetric impacts and the specific conditions that are impacting wood supply.
For the purposes of the monitoring program, ‘wood supply’ is defined as: The volume, species and grade of native forest high quality logs (large and small), that can be economically and sustainably
supplied to the forestry industry from a given region over the short to medium term (5 to 20 years), while maintaining forest landscape values, as reflected in the Ecologically Sustainable Forest Management
principles in Regional Forest Agreements, over the medium to long term (20 to 100 years).
To achieve this, the program will first evaluate trends in historic actual wood production data from 2003 to 2019 and the various factors influencing trends over time. Following this, the program will establish two baselines
for predicted wood supply from coastal native hardwood state forests:
under conditions in the previous four IFOAs that form part of the new Coastal IFOA
under new conditions in the Coastal IFOA.
By evaluating modelled timber yield from both scenarios, the program can determine to what extent the Coastal IFOA conditions are likely to have an impact on wood supply.